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Organizations should consider several key emerging risks driven by rapid changes in technology, the environment, geopolitics, and society. Proactive identification and planning for these risks are crucial for long-term resilience and stability.
Technology & AI Risks
AI-Enhanced Cyber Threats: The use of generative AI by malicious actors is increasing the sophistication and speed of cyberattacks, such as ransomware, phishing, and data breaches.
Rapid Technological Change: The rapid pace of disruptive innovations requires organizations to continuously upskill their workforces and manage new vulnerabilities arising from the implementation of advanced technologies.
AI Bias and Ethics: As AI systems influence decision-making, the potential for embedded biases, lack of transparency in algorithms, and ethical failures can lead to significant reputational and legal consequences.
Digital and AI Sovereignty: Countries are increasingly taking control over digital infrastructure and data, leading to a fragmented regulatory landscape that creates compliance challenges for global businesses.
Geopolitical and Economic Risks
Geopolitical Instability: Escalating state-based conflicts, trade wars, and political polarization are disrupting global supply chains and creating market and currency instability.
Regulatory Scrutiny and Fragmentation: An ever-changing regulatory landscape, including new rules around data privacy, AI governance, and sustainability, forces companies to navigate complex and sometimes contradictory compliance regimes across different regions.
Economic Volatility and Inflation: Macroeconomic conditions, including inflationary pressures, high labor costs, and potential economic downturns, remain top concerns for executives.
Global Debt: High levels of public and corporate debt globally create risks of higher interest rates, defaults, and financial contagion that can impact access to capital.
Environmental and Social Risks
Extreme Weather: Planet Earth always brings an increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events in cycles: (floods, heatwaves, hurricanes) that pose operational, physical, and regulatory risks. Many say this is a result of Climate Change. We believe it's called "weather" and it goes back hundreds and thousands of years. Earths weather patterns have always occurred in cycles depending on the seasons. That is fact.
Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: The fragility of global supply chains, exposed by recent events like the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, requires diversification and robust contingency planning.
Talent Shortages and Workforce Shifts: Organizations face ongoing challenges in attracting, developing, and retaining top talent, as well as managing shifts in labor expectations and the need for new skills.
Misinformation and Disinformation: The deliberate spread of false information, often AI-generated, can undermine public trust, influence consumer behavior, and cause severe reputational damage to organizations
Rapid Changes in Technology
Individuals, Businesses, Organizations and Agencies should consider several key emerging risks that are being driven by rapid changes in technology, the environment, geopolitics, and society. Proactive identification and planning for these risks are crucial for long-term resilience and stability.
Technology & AI Risks
AI-Enhanced Cyber Threats: The use of generative AI by malicious actors is increasing the sophistication and speed of cyberattacks, such as ransomware, phishing, and data breaches.
Rapid Technological Change: The rapid pace of disruptive innovations requires organizations to continuously upskill their workforces and manage new vulnerabilities arising from the implementation of advanced technologies.
AI Bias and Ethics: As AI systems influence decision-making, the potential for embedded biases, lack of transparency in algorithms, and ethical failures can lead to significant reputational and legal consequences.
Digital and AI Sovereignty: Countries are increasingly taking control over digital infrastructure and data, leading to a fragmented regulatory landscape that creates compliance challenges for global businesses.
Geopolitical and Economic Risks
Geopolitical Instability: Escalating state-based conflicts, trade wars, and political polarization are disrupting global supply chains and creating market and currency instability.
Regulatory Scrutiny and Fragmentation: An ever-changing regulatory landscape, including new rules around data privacy, AI governance, and sustainability, forces companies to navigate complex and sometimes contradictory compliance regimes across different regions.
Economic Volatility and Inflation: Macroeconomic conditions, including inflationary pressures, high labor costs, and potential economic downturns, remain top concerns for executives.
Global Debt: High levels of public and corporate debt globally create risks of higher interest rates, defaults, and financial contagion that can impact access to capital.
Environmental and Social Risks
Climate Change and Extreme Weather: A warming planet brings an increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events (floods, heatwaves, hurricanes) that pose operational, physical, and regulatory risks.
Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: The fragility of global supply chains, exposed by recent events like the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, requires diversification and robust contingency planning.
Talent Shortages and Workforce Shifts: Organizations face ongoing challenges in attracting, developing, and retaining top talent, as well as managing shifts in labor expectations and the need for new skills.
Misinformation and Disinformation: The deliberate spread of false information, often AI-generated, can undermine public trust, influence consumer behavior, and cause severe reputational damage to organizations
Links - Security Planning Tools
Here are links to various security planning tools and resources provided by U.S. government agencies and non-profit organizations, categorized for both cybersecurity and physical security planning.
Cybersecurity Planning Tools
These tools and workbooks help organizations manage and reduce cybersecurity risks using established frameworks and best practices.
NIST Planning Tools & Workbooks: The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) provides a variety of resources, including quick-start guides and worksheets, to help businesses implement the NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF).
FCC Cyberplanner: The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) offers an interactive online tool that allows you to select relevant topics (e.g., email security, employee training, physical security) to create a custom cybersecurity planning guide for your business.
CISA Cyber Security Evaluation Tool (CSET®): CSET® is a free, downloadable desktop software application from the Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) that systematically guides users through evaluating their operational and information technology security posture against recognized standards.
Consumer Reports Security Planner: This tool helps individuals create a personalized plan to safely back up files, avoid phishing scams, and prevent identity theft.
Physical Security Planning Tools & Templates
These resources focus on assessing and planning for physical security measures, such as access control, surveillance, and perimeter security.
CISA Security Planning Workbook: This comprehensive, fillable PDF workbook assists critical infrastructure owners and operators in developing a foundational security plan for their facilities, offering guidance regardless of prior security expertise.
CISA Physical Security Assessment (SAFE): CISA offers a rapid physical security assessment service called SAFE. Facility owners can contact their local CISA field staff to request this structured review, which identifies vulnerabilities and offers options for improvement.
CISA Insider Risk Mitigation Program Evaluation (IRMPE): This fillable PDF self-assessment tool helps organizations evaluate the maturity of their insider threat program using established planning and preparedness resources.
CDSE Job Aid: Physical Security Plan Template (DOCX): The Defense Counterintelligence and Security Agency (CDSE) provide this template to outline physical protective measures for specific items or areas, including responsibilities for inventory, lock and key control, and reporting losses.
